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The Ministry of Transport’s new energy vehicle promotion focus on the most difficult “hard bone†areas. The author believes that the grand promotion plan for the application of 300,000 new energy vehicles in the urban public transport, rental, and urban logistics and distribution areas in the next five years will eventually need to rely on technological progress.
The "Implementation Opinions of the Ministry of Transport on Accelerating the Promotion and Application of New Energy Vehicles (Draft for Solicitation of Comments)" proposes grand plans - By 2020, the total application of new energy vehicles in urban public transportation, rental, and urban logistics and distribution will reach 30 With 10,000 vehicles, the contribution rate of new energy vehicles to energy conservation and emission reduction in urban transportation reached 20%. By 2020, the number of new energy city buses will reach 200,000, new energy taxis will reach 50,000, and new energy cities will have 50,000 vehicles.
This means that the Ministry of Communications’ new energy vehicle promotion focus has been on the most difficult “hard-bones†areas. Because whether it is a city bus, a taxi, or a city logistics distribution vehicle, its common feature is the extremely high frequency of use. Therefore, in the next five years, the smooth promotion of 300,000 new energy vehicles in urban public transportation, taxis, and urban logistics and distribution will not be easy.
As we all know, in the past, the promotion of new energy vehicles has focused on urban public transport. However, its promotion effect is not satisfactory.
If you look at some of the accumulated flashy surface statistics, you can find out that problems and achievements coexist.
In 2009, the four ministries and commissions of the Ministry of Science and Technology, Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Ministry of Finance jointly launched pilot projects for the demonstration and promotion of energy-saving and new energy vehicles and identified Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Changchun, Dalian, Hangzhou, Jinan, Wuhan, Shenzhen and Hefei. , Changsha, Kunming, Nanchang and other 13 cities as the country's first batch of pilot cities. In early 2010, four ministries and commissions including the Ministry of Science and Technology, the Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the Ministry of Finance issued notifications to further expand the promotion and demonstration of energy conservation and new energy in the public service sector and increase Tianjin, Haikou, Zhengzhou, Xiamen, Suzhou and Tangshan. Seven pilot cities such as Guangzhou. Later it was included in Shenyang, Hohhot, Chengdu, Nantong, and Liyang, making the number of pilot cities in the country reach 25.
In the demonstration and promotion pilot work in these cities, some problems were gradually exposed. For example, bus drivers complained that “the battery capacity is small and the battery life is attenuated quicklyâ€, and the road is frightened; “Failures occur frequently and often stop runningâ€. , repair the pain; "comprehensive operating costs, unbearable", it is better to retire or return to buy traditional models ... ...
Some new energy buses have sunk their nets for three days, even after a period of time, they have used their temper to make their sons and their nests unworked. They can only allow users to repent in their throats and intestines. Even if there is a subsidy, a typical case is that a certain bus company in Shandong would rather not accept the short cruising range, multiple failures, and high operating costs of pure electric buses. Rather, they would rather not provide the electric buses provided free by the government. Resolutely reduced the original pure electric bus operation plan and expanded the purchase of natural gas buses.
In this way, the subsidy became a catchy duck, and the user was totally a white rabbit. Problems arose, and the guns were put into storage, Ma Fang Nanshan, and nobody asked. The advantages of low cost, energy saving and environmental protection have become short-lived.
To put it plainly, the technology is not too hard. In a relatively short period of time, those new energy vehicles that have taken the lead in embroidering their heads will be exposed, and it will be difficult for them to get their favorite.
Plug-in hybrid or favored to trace the origin, some of the new energy bus's operating results "horrible", its original sin is not the buyer, but the car is not hard enough three-footed cat kung fu is wicked.
However, car companies also have difficulties, and the improvement of battery performance is not fast enough. Electric commercial vehicles equipped with more power batteries and more powerful motors than passenger cars and more sophisticated electronic control systems naturally affect the results of demonstration operations.
The person concerned even pointed out that before the battery material problem was solved, the electric car was too far away from us. However, it is not practical for commercial vehicles to engage in electric vehicles, and the cruising range cannot meet the demand.
There is a way out, that is, to avoid the battery short board, and promote the use of plug-in hybrid vehicles with fewer batteries. And it is purely electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles. It is precisely the three types of new energy vehicles encouraged by the national strategy.
For urban public transport, taxis and urban logistics with new energy vehicles, the charging problem is not a very worrying issue. Because they have units that are managed and affiliated, they can use more fixed sites for charging and changing electricity.
The past experience and lessons learned in strengthening the R&D of core components are still valuable. It is a star who guides us to reach the other side of success. The cover of the vehicle ahead, the lesson after the car.
Of course, with the passage of time, technology is changing with each passing day. We cannot look at the issue from a standstill point of view.
In fact, as BYD has done well in pure electric vehicles, electric taxis have been operating for many years, and electric buses have also come out of the country. There are also some companies' electric taxis and buses that have been put into operation locally and have created a relatively good reputation.
However, further progress has been made. New energy vehicles must be favored in the fields of urban public transportation, leasing and urban logistics and distribution, and the safety and durability of vehicles must be further enhanced.
Urban buses, taxis, and urban logistics delivery vehicles are traveling at high frequency in densely populated urban core road sections. Their safety and durability have a direct impact on the normal operation of the entire city’s road traffic system.
The technological advancement of new energy vehicles for vehicle companies cannot be separated from the support of the industrial chain. Must pay attention to the development of core components. The entire vehicle company and parts and components companies have tackled technical problems and thoroughly solved the problem of rapid battery energy decay, so that city bus, rental and city logistics distribution companies are willing to buy and willing to use them.
The management department also needs to establish product technology thresholds and strictly control recommended catalogs, so that those products with excellent performance are put to good use, establish a positive impression of users on new energy vehicles, and expand the market acceptance of new energy vehicles.
For new energy automobile manufacturers, they can flexibly adopt business models such as rent-to-buy or car-electricity separation, take the initiative to assume the issues of short battery life and late maintenance, reduce the purchase threshold, and eliminate the purchaser’s concerns. Win enough trust and gradually open the market.
The “Implementation Opinions of the Ministry of Transport on Accelerating the Popularization and Application of New Energy Vehicles (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)†also proposes to actively coordinate financial departments at the same level and formulate support policies for the promotion and application of new energy vehicles in the region. The supporting financial support is mainly used for new energy vehicle purchase subsidies, loan interest subsidies, promotion and application of publicity and research grants.
These are the necessary conditions for the promotion of new energy vehicles, rather than sufficient conditions. The author believes that the Department of Transportation's grand promotion plan for the application of 300,000 new energy vehicles in urban public transportation, leasing, and urban logistics distribution will eventually need to rely on technological progress.
Zhang Shaohua: The Ministry of Communications’s new energy dream depends on technology
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